It is very necessary to ask it the Taliban will survive governing Afghanistan for the next ten years.
Remember on April 29, 1975 when the Vietcong captured Saigon. The Americans had to beat a hasty retreat and evacuate all their people immediately. Retreating is one of the tactics of any mean warrior.
Is it not ironic therefore that September 2 is actually Vietnam’s Independence Day when they celebrated freedom from the French in 1945. Fast-forward 76 years and Afghanistan has happened to be the new Vietnam
Though both the USSR and USA has apparently failed to subdue Afghanistan, just as both the French and Americans failed to subdue Vietnam but certainty, some impact have been made. Yet A natural fortress, Afghanistan simply cannot be colonised. It has to develop from within
Could we agree that In an audacious show of bravado and valour, 100,000 ill-equipped Taliban fighters overran 300,000 heavily-armed US-trained troops? It may appear so but the real situation is that, USA has drastically lost WILL to fight further. So the Afghan people deserve no sympathy for what awaits them as they have refused to stand up to the Taliban themselves long before now.
However, the Taliban will soon discover the very hard way that rhetoric and religious fervour can only help mobilise fighters but Islamic rhetoric will not grow any economy by 1%. Note. As we speak, the Taliban does not even have the expertise to run Kabul airport. I do not see flights resuming soon. The long term war has damaged a lot.
America left some bad, broken, disabled military equipments behind maybe because the service men were forced to leave and evacuate vulnerable individuals within a short period of time ordered by President Joe Biden. Though the presence of the western allies has made or brought some positive impact on most of the Afghan nationals to some extent.
Now let us talk about the working or manageable equipments. What about those seized from the Afghan troops? Will the Taliban be able to successfully manage or run them in terms of maintenance and other expenses with the current financial situation in the country. I believe the equipment might end up in China or Russia in exchange for funds.
Gathering this news, Afghan banks still remain shut and will not open until there is a coherent government policy on matters like interest rates, usury, inter-bank lending, government loans, debt servicing, remittances, etc.
As a matter of fact, the Taliban has no policies on the economy, housing, transport, agriculture, education, healthcare, etc. It is delusional for them to actually think they can run a government without any form of guidelines available. They are definitely going to need the involvement of foreign affairs, diplomacy etc to survive. Yet, fighting is still going on as Afghan resistance forces still hold some areas.
For too long, Nigeria and majority of African nations have suffered from this malaise too. A politician without good foreign and domestic policies is just a criminal going into office to enrich himself or herself.
Sadly, the African people are complicit in this crime. A candidate with no policies should get zero votes! If you have voted for a candidate with no policies just because he or she gave you some money, you have no moral right to attack the poor Taliban.
Afghans just like Africans still have a lot of way to go to recovery.